Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
Big East
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#124
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#131
Pace56.2#340
Improvement-1.4#233

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#149
Improvement-2.1#253

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#122
Improvement+0.7#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 134   Central Florida L 56-74 64%     0 - 1 -19.0 -14.9 -5.2
  Nov 16, 2012 344   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-59 97%     1 - 1 -0.2 +1.8 -1.2
  Nov 17, 2012 171   Loyola Chicago W 68-50 73%     2 - 1 +14.5 +1.6 +15.1
  Nov 18, 2012 147   Western Michigan L 53-58 68%     2 - 2 -7.1 -10.1 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2012 159   Bradley W 82-63 70%     3 - 2 +16.3 +4.3 +11.2
  Nov 26, 2012 243   @ Stetson W 63-54 66%     4 - 2 +7.6 -2.7 +11.5
  Nov 30, 2012 101   Georgia W 64-53 55%     5 - 2 +12.3 +13.0 +2.5
  Dec 05, 2012 21   @ Oklahoma St. L 49-61 10%     5 - 3 +4.6 -5.8 +8.3
  Dec 18, 2012 203   Youngstown St. W 72-54 78%     6 - 3 +12.8 +2.4 +12.0
  Dec 21, 2012 210   Bowling Green W 87-84 3OT 79%     7 - 3 -2.7 +1.4 -4.5
  Dec 29, 2012 145   George Mason W 61-57 67%     8 - 3 +2.1 -12.9 +15.0
  Jan 02, 2013 134   @ Central Florida W 65-56 40%     9 - 3 +14.5 +2.1 +13.5
  Jan 06, 2013 11   Syracuse L 44-55 19%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +1.1 -11.8 +10.0
  Jan 09, 2013 49   Villanova L 53-61 35%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -1.3 -6.5 +4.1
  Jan 12, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 38-64 3%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -1.8 -18.5 +15.4
  Jan 17, 2013 98   @ Rutgers L 67-70 31%     9 - 7 0 - 4 +5.0 +7.2 -2.6
  Jan 19, 2013 13   Georgetown W 61-58 19%     10 - 7 1 - 4 +15.0 +15.0 +0.8
  Jan 23, 2013 113   @ Seton Hall L 47-55 34%     10 - 8 1 - 5 -1.0 -7.6 +4.3
  Jan 26, 2013 30   Notre Dame L 65-73 28%     10 - 9 1 - 6 +0.9 +11.3 -12.5
  Jan 28, 2013 22   @ Marquette L 50-63 11%     10 - 10 1 - 7 +3.1 -9.8 +11.2
  Feb 03, 2013 51   @ Connecticut L 64-69 OT 17%     10 - 11 1 - 8 +8.1 -4.5 +12.7
  Feb 06, 2013 22   Marquette L 47-70 25%     10 - 12 1 - 9 -13.4 -15.5 -1.5
  Feb 09, 2013 49   @ Villanova L 40-68 16%     10 - 13 1 - 10 -14.8 -20.6 +3.5
  Feb 13, 2013 63   Providence L 66-76 43%     10 - 14 1 - 11 -5.5 +4.0 -10.8
  Feb 17, 2013 1   Louisville L 41-59 9%     10 - 15 1 - 12 -0.3 -14.0 +10.8
  Feb 20, 2013 97   @ St. John's L 54-69 30%     10 - 16 1 - 13 -7.0 -5.1 -3.3
  Feb 27, 2013 8   @ Pittsburgh L 44-64 7%     10 - 17 1 - 14 -0.3 -11.3 +7.1
  Mar 03, 2013 165   DePaul W 83-73 72%     11 - 17 2 - 14 +6.8 +11.7 -4.2
  Mar 06, 2013 51   Connecticut W 65-51 35%     12 - 17 3 - 14 +20.6 +4.7 +17.9
  Mar 09, 2013 38   @ Cincinnati L 53-61 OT 14%     12 - 18 3 - 15 +6.5 +1.7 +3.1
  Mar 12, 2013 113   Seton Hall L 42-46 OT 46%     12 - 19 -0.2 -18.4 +17.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%